According to Will Sammon of The Athletic, the New York Mets are reportedly considering a new strategy to secure Pete Alonso in free agency. Instead of offering a lengthy contract that extends into Alonso’s mid-to-late 30s, the team is leaning toward a shorter-term deal with a higher annual average value (AAV), focusing on immediate returns while minimizing the risks associated with long-term decline.
A Higher AAV Maximizes Alonso’s Earning Potential
Under this approach, the Mets could propose a five-year, $170 million contract, averaging $34 million annually. This structure would position Alonso among the highest-paid players in the league while maintaining a more manageable financial commitment over the contract’s duration.
In contrast, a longer-term deal, such as seven years for $189 million, would reduce the average annual value to $27 million. Although still a significant contract, this option prioritizes long-term security over immediate earning potential.
For Alonso, the shorter-term deal presents an opportunity to maximize earnings during his prime years while leaving room to pursue another substantial contract at age 34, assuming his performance remains strong.
Avoiding the Pitfalls of Long-Term Decline
The Mets prefer a shorter contract due to the realities of player aging and the need for roster flexibility. Alonso will be 30 at the start of the 2025 season. Although his power and durability have remained strong, committing to a seven-year deal or more increases the risk of paying for reduced performance later in the contract.
A five-year deal would allow the Mets to make the most of Alonso’s peak years while minimizing the chances of a significant drop-off in production. This strategy also provides the team with greater financial flexibility to address future needs and adjust to changes in the roster.
Alonso’s Consistency as a Cornerstone
Alonso continues to be one of the most consistent power hitters in the league, and his performance supports the Mets’ desire to keep him. In 2024, he appeared in all 162 games, posting a .240/.329/.459 slash line with 34 home runs, 88 RBIs, and a 122 wRC+. His durability and impressive slugging ability make him a key player in the Mets’ lineup, especially as they work to develop a competitive team around recent additions like Juan Soto.
Balancing Near-Term Gains with Team Needs
While Alonso’s offensive contributions are crucial, the Mets must also weigh how his contract impacts their ability to address other team needs. By opting for a higher AAV with a shorter term, the team keeps flexibility to invest in pitching and additional hitting. This approach aligns with owner Steve Cohen’s goal of creating a sustainable, competitive team for the long term.
The Mets’ push for a shorter deal with Alonso reflects their adaptability, allowing them to keep a key player while preserving the flexibility to meet future needs. It’s a delicate balance that could shape how the Mets handle their stars moving forward.
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